2024 Popular Vote Prediction. Fivethirtyeight’s favorability ratings of vice president kamala harris, in combination with a likely voter weight, and allocation of undecided voters were used to determine the expected vote share for the candidates in the 2024 united states presidential election. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page.
It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. The first step in our model is to generate a prediction for the national popular vote on election day.
